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資本效率型多結果市場

Planned

**Status: not shipped. Target Q3 2026.** Multi-outcome markets with three or more answers traditionally lock up capital across every outcome. A capital-efficient variant — referred to industry-wide as "negative-risk" markets — lets traders share collateral across outcomes inside the same event. This page describes the intended design so integrators can plan against it. No live SatoriEx market currently exposes negative-risk behavior.

尚未開放

本頁說明預期的設計方案。在功能上線前,SatoriEx 的多結果市場仍採用傳統 CLOB 架構,每個結果需全額鎖定抵押品。

資本問題

在當前的四結果市場中,以 0.25 USDC 各買入 100 份每個結果,總計花費 100 USDC——但裁決後保證獲得 100 USDC,該部位實際上無風險。然而傳統 CLOB 設計仍要求鎖定全額 100 USDC 抵押品。

範例

四個結果定價分別為 0.25、0.30、0.20、0.25

  • 買入 A 100 份 @ 0.25 → 25 USDC
  • 買入 B 100 份 @ 0.30 → 30 USDC
  • 買入 C 100 份 @ 0.20 → 20 USDC
  • 買入 D 100 份 @ 0.25 → 25 USDC

總成本 100 USDC;保證賠付 100 USDC。目前的設計鎖定全額 100 USDC;資本效率型設計則認識到該部位無風險。

資本效率型變體的運作方式

當使用者的部位覆蓋某事件的所有結果時,撮合引擎將在事件層級進行淨額計算,而非逐結果計算。

  • 所需抵押品 = 最大可能虧損,而非所有買入的加總。
  • 清算仍只支付一個結果——與現在相同。
  • 僅持有部分結果的使用者繼續沿用傳統模型。
  • Single-outcome trades on flagged events still work normally; conversion is opt-in per trade.

Tradeoffs and augmented variants

The conversion mechanism is most useful when every outcome of an event is named and immutable at market launch. Some real-world events have emerging outcomes — a candidate enters the race late, a team qualifies for a bracket after market open. An 'augmented' variant supports these events by reserving placeholder slots that get named later, with an explicit 'Other' bucket as the resolution catch-all. This introduces specific risks traders need to understand.

  • Trade only on named outcomes. A placeholder slot has no defined meaning until it is clarified, and resolution to a still-unnamed slot routes to the 'Other' bucket.
  • The economic meaning of 'Other' shifts as placeholders are named. A position that was 'bet on Other' early in a market's life may be 'bet on a much narrower Other' by resolution.
  • Two API-level flags are planned to identify these markets: a base flag for standard capital-efficient events, plus an additional flag for the augmented variant. Integrators should check both before routing orders.

現況

設計工作正在進行中。我們將在更新日誌中公布時程,並在功能上線時更新本頁。在此之前,請將多結果部位視為傳統抵押方式處理。